La LigaNovember 7, 20263 min readBy Peter OlaleruEditor

Real Madrid's eighth straight win raises the question: who makes way when Vinícius returns?

Mourinho's makeshift shape delivered a 3-0 win at Valencia and provisional parity with Barcelona, but the numbers and the team sheet tell different stories abou

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Valencia vs Real Madrid
La Liga
November 7, 2026
FULL TIME
0-3
Estadio de Mestalla
Photo: Valencia CF / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0, cropped

Real Madrid won 3-0 at Valencia on 7 November 2026, moving provisionally level on points with La Liga leaders Barcelona. Federico Valverde scored in the 28th minute, Arda Güler in the 36th, and Kylian Mbappé in the 75th. Valencia captain José Gayà was sent off in the 79th. It was Madrid's eighth consecutive win across all competitions.

Vinícius Júnior was unavailable, serving the final match of a four-game ban, and José Mourinho responded by fielding Valverde at right-back, with Tchouaméni and Bernardo Silva holding in midfield and Güler, Jude Bellingham and Yan Diomande behind Mbappé. That is a midfielder at full-back, a teenager in the attacking line, and a shape that bears little resemblance to the one Madrid have used when everyone is available.

The numbers say the performance matched the result

Valencia managed 32 per cent possession, four shots, two on target, zero big chances and 0.16 expected goals. Madrid had 68 per cent possession, 19 shots, 11 on target, six big chances and 2.26 expected goals.

Marc Cucurella led the match with 104 touches and 15 defensive actions, Dean Huijsen had 103 touches and 13 progressive passes, and Diomande completed six take-ons and 13 progressive carries.

Güler's goal was his third in five matches. That is a run, not a season, but it is the kind of run that changes a midfield pecking order. He started behind Mbappé here alongside Bellingham, with Bernardo Silva deeper. When Vinícius returns, someone has to make way, and the obvious candidates are not the ones who have been winning games.

The wider question is whether this is a system shift or a squad-depth patch. Madrid's expected goals in this match, 2.26, came in below their average of 2.81 across earlier 2026/27 matches in all competitions.

Mourinho's makeshift back line worked because Valencia offered almost nothing. Valencia's 0.16 expected goals and zero big chances mean the defensive experiment was barely tested. The next opponents will test it more.

Valverde at right-back is the most consequential selection. He is a midfielder by trade, and he scored from that position. If he does keep it, Madrid lose a midfielder to solve a defensive problem. If he does not, the balance that produced this win disappears.

The eight-game run has coincided with Vinícius's absence, which makes the causality awkward. Madrid have won without him, convincingly at times, and the temptation is to conclude they are better without him. The data does not support that.

Barcelona play at Atlético Madrid next. Madrid have applied the pressure; they cannot control what happens next. What they can control is whether the shape that beat Valencia survives the return of the players it was designed to accommodate. That is the question the next few weeks will settle, and it will be settled by selection, not by argument.

Sources

  1. [1]FotMob
  2. [2]espn.com
  3. [3]aljazeera.com
  4. [4]thefalse9.com
  5. [5]managingmadrid.com
  6. [6]sports.yahoo.com
Peter Olaleru

Editor

Peter Olaleru

Peter is the editor of Measured Take and a cybersecurity professional. He leads our news, fact checks and sport from around the world, with a particular eye on cyber attacks, data breaches, scams, AI and misinformation.

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