Denmark edge Wales as Bellamy’s side falters in chance creation

Denmark collected a solitary goal from Rasmus Højlund in the 75th minute to win 1‑0 at the Cardiff City Stadium on 4 October 2026.

Wales held the ball for 56 % of the match, yet their six attempts produced only one on‑target shot and no clear‑cut chances. Denmark, with 44 % possession, managed 13 shots, four of which tested the Welsh keeper, and generated four big chances. The disparity is reflected in the expected‑goals figures: Wales posted an xG of 0.37, while Denmark’s was a healthy 2.20.

The Welsh side’s three corners matched Denmark’s, but the figure sits well below the 5.4 corners per game Wales have averaged across the season. Their overall xG of 0.37 also trails the season average of 1.49, and the open‑play component of 0.16 is far beneath the typical 0.87. In contrast, Denmark’s 13 shots and four big chances illustrate a capacity to convert possession into genuine threat.

Bellamy has deployed a 4‑2‑3‑1 formation, while Denmark lined up in a 4‑4‑2. Bellamy’s record so far this year stands at 0‑2‑1, equating to 0.67 points per game across the same number of matches.

Wales entered the Denmark game on the back of a 2‑1 victory over Norway, but that win followed a 2‑0 loss to the same Danish opponents a week earlier.

The immediate question is how Bellamy will adjust his approach to improve chance creation. With Denmark demonstrating that a lower possession share can still yield a superior shot volume, Wales may need to rethink the balance between defensive solidity and attacking intent. The upcoming group matches will test whether the manager can restore a more equitable distribution of opportunities or if the current trajectory will persist.

If Wales can raise their shot output and generate more big chances, the gap in expected goals could narrow, turning possession dominance into tangible results. Until then, the 1‑0 loss to Denmark serves as a stark reminder that control of the ball alone does not guarantee points in Nations League A.

- [FotMob](https://www.fotmob.com) - [bolavip.com](https://bolavip.com/en/soccer/wales-vs-denmark-how-to-watch-live-stream-tv-channel-and-time-for-uefa-nations-league-game-on-october-4-2026) - [goal.com](https://www.goal.com/en-us/news/watch-wales-v-denmark-live-stream-online-tv-channel/blte4e9d317df03aeea)