“The final ITV Cymru Wales / YouGov MRP poll put Plaid Cymru on 33% and Reform UK on 29% of the Senedd vote.”

YouGovNews reportMay 5, 2026Read the original

The final ITV Cymru Wales / YouGov MRP before the 7 May 2026 Senedd election.

Our verdict

True

The final MRP had Plaid 33% and Reform 29%; the result was Plaid 35.4% and Reform 29.3%.

What we found

The poll, with Cardiff University's Wales Governance Centre, projected Plaid 43 seats and Reform 34, which matched the outcome. The claim is accurate.

The evidence

1 of 2 sources support the claim; none contradict it.

Contradict 0Support 1Background 1

Supports the claim
Plaid Cymru on course to be largest party, YouGov poll projects. [1]
Background
The latest polls and the result in Wales. [2]

How we checked

We checked the claim against Deeside.com, Nation.Cymru. We reviewed 2 relevant sources.

Sources

[1]Deeside.com · Senedd election 2026: Plaid Cymru on course to be largest party, YouGov poll projects
[2]Nation.Cymru · What the latest polls tell us about Wales' shifting political landscape

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