Fact checkPoliticsPublished May 3, 2026
Media reports: “With about 80% of votes counted in the Nepean by-election, Liberal candidate Anthony Marsh had 38.5% of the primary vote and 63.4% two-candidate preferred.”. Our verdict: True.

The claim

“With about 80% of votes counted in the Nepean by-election, Liberal candidate Anthony Marsh had 38.5% of the primary vote and 63.4% two-candidate preferred.”

Media reportsNews reportMay 3, 2026Read the original

Coverage of the 2 May 2026 Nepean state by-election in Victoria.

Our verdict

True

Those were the figures at the 80% count; the final VEC result was 38.7% primary and 63.2% after preferences.

What we found

Neos Kosmos reported the 38.5% and 63.4% figures at 80% counted. The Victorian Electoral Commission's final count gave Marsh 38.68% of first preferences and 63.24% after distribution. The claim accurately reports the count at that stage.

The evidence

1 of 2 sources support the claim; none contradict it.

Contradict 0Support 1Background 1
  • Supports the claim

    With 80% counted, Marsh had 38.5% of the primary vote and led 63.4% two-candidate preferred. [1]

  • Background

    Final VEC results: 38.68% first preferences, 63.24% after preferences. [2]

How we checked

We checked the claim against Neos Kosmos, Victorian Electoral Commission. We reviewed 2 relevant sources.

Sources

  1. [1]Neos Kosmos · Nepean stays Liberal but the ground has shifted
  2. [2]Victorian Electoral Commission · Nepean District results

Have evidence we missed?

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