Fact checkPoliticsPublished April 19, 2026
Alpha Research: “Progressive Bulgaria received 38.1% of the vote according to an exit poll by Alpha Research.”. Our verdict: Mostly True.

The claim

“Progressive Bulgaria received 38.1% of the vote according to an exit poll by Alpha Research.”

Alpha ResearchNews reportApril 19, 2026Read the original

Exit poll for Bulgaria's 19 April 2026 parliamentary election, reported by Reuters and BNT.

Our verdict

Mostly True

Exit polls put Progressive Bulgaria between 37.5% and 39.2%; the Alpha Research figure we found was 37.5%, not 38.1%. The party went on to win about 44.6%.

What we found

On election night, 19 April 2026, Alpha Research's exit poll gave Progressive Bulgaria 37.5%, Market Links 38.9% and Trend 39.2%. We could not find a 38.1% figure from Alpha Research, though it is within the range of the exit polls. The final result was higher, at about 44.6%.

The evidence

1 of 2 sources contradict the claim; none support it.

Contradict 1Support 0Background 1
  • Contradicts the claim

    Alpha Research's exit poll gave Progressive Bulgaria 37.5% and GERB-UDF 16.2%. [1]

  • Background

    Exit polls showed Radev's party set to win. [2]

How we checked

We checked the claim against Al Jazeera, Sofia Globe. We reviewed 2 relevant sources.

Sources

  1. [1]Sofia Globe · Bulgaria's April 2026 elections: Ex-president Radev's party wins most votes - exit polls
  2. [2]Al Jazeera · Exit poll shows former president Radev's party set to win Bulgaria election

Have evidence we missed?

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