“Mass immigration over the last 10 years has increased the average property price by nearly £20,000.” — Richard Tice. Our verdict: Unverified.
Richard Tice of Reform UK made the claim in an interview published by London TV, dated 26 October 2026.
Our verdict
Unverified
We could not find enough public evidence to confirm or refute Richard Tice's claim that mass immigration over the last 10 years has pushed the average property price up by nearly £20,000. The £20,000 figure is not backed by any published data we could find, and no UK study isolates immigration's effect on house prices over that period.
Know something that settles it? Send us evidenceWhat we found
The claim has two parts. The first is that the UK saw "mass immigration" over the last 10 years. The second is that this raised average property prices by nearly £20,000. On the first, official migration statistics show recent net migration levels, but they do not define "mass immigration" or give a benchmark for what would count as mass, so we cannot verify that description. On the second, the £20,000 figure comes from Richard Tice himself, with no supporting data. UK house price figures show prices rose by roughly £28,000 in cash terms since 2020, but that does not show immigration caused the rise. A government review of international evidence found immigration's effect on house prices is usually modest, at 0 to 3 per cent per percentage point increase in the immigrant share of the population. That does not support a specific £20,000 UK figure for the last decade. We could not find any UK study that isolates immigration's effect on house prices over the last 10 years, so the claim remains unverified.
The evidence
1 of 2 sources support the claim; none contradict it.
- Background
Richard Tice claimed that recent data shows average property prices are nearly £20,000 higher because of mass immigration over the last 10 years. No data was provided to back the figure. [1]
- Supports the claim
A government review of international evidence found that immigration's effect on house prices is generally modest, with most studies finding a 0 to 3 per cent increase per percentage point of immigrant population growth. It does not give a UK-specific figure for the last decade. [2]
What we could not confirm
- What counts as "mass immigration" — no agreed definition or historical benchmark was provided.
- Whether immigration caused any specific change in UK average property prices over the last 10 years.
- The source of the £20,000 figure, and any UK study isolating immigration's effect on house prices over that period.
How we checked
We looked at the original interview where the claim was made, official UK migration and house price statistics, and a government review of international research on immigration and housing costs. We could not find enough public evidence to confirm or refute the claim. If you have evidence that bears on it, please send it to us. We reviewed 2 relevant sources.
Sources
- [1]london-tv.co.uk · Burnham 'babbling' on Europe but voters want net zero immigration, says Reform UK's Richard Tice - London TV
- [2]gov.uk · Migration and housing costs: what does international evidence imply for the UK? (accessible) · June 19, 2026
- [3]Photo: ©House of Commons / Laurie Noble / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY 3.0
Help us check this claim
We could not find enough public evidence to confirm or refute this claim. If you know of an official record, dataset, transcript or report that settles it, send us the link. We review every submission and update this fact check when the evidence changes the picture.
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