“The IMF reduced its UK growth forecast for 2025 to 0.8% from a previous estimate of 1.3% made in January 2025, citing the impact of the Middle East hostilities.”

Speaker under reviewSource under reviewApril 15, 2026

Our verdict

False

The IMF did cut UK growth to 0.8%, but this is for 2026 not 2025 as claimed.

What we found

The forecast was reduced from 1.3% (which was the 2025 projection), not from a January 2025 forecast. The claim conflates different time periods.

The evidence

Background
UK GDP expected to rise by 0.8% this year (2026), down from previous forecast of 1.3%. Growth projected to decline from 1.3% in 2025 to 0.8% in 2026
theguardian.com· Guardian IMF Report

How we checked

We reviewed 1 relevant source.

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