The claim
“A George Mason University/Washington Post survey found 52% of Virginia voters support the new congressional maps and 47% oppose them, while Abigail Spanberger won the November 2023 gubernatorial election by a margin of more than 15 percentage points.”
Our verdict
Mostly True
The poll results regarding support for the new congressional maps are directly corroborated by multiple news sources citing the George Washington University/Washington Post survey.
What we found
However, the claim about Abigail Spanberger winning the November 2023 gubernatorial election by more than 15 percentage points is not directly supported or contradicted by the provided evidence, and the timing of the election is also mismatched with the context of the redistricting referendum.
The evidence
5 sources, all background: none settles the claim either way.
- Background
Multiple news outlets cite a George Mason University Schar School/Washington Post poll indicating that 52% of likely Virginia voters support or are leaning toward supporting a proposed constitutional amendment for new congressional maps.
wric.com· GMU/Washington Post Poll: 52% support new maps - Background
A new George Mason University Schar School/Washington Post poll shows that 52% of likely voters support or are leaning toward supporting Virginia's redistricting referendum.
yahoo.com· New poll shows majority support for redistricting referendum - Background
A Washington Post-Schar School poll indicates that a slim majority of Virginia voters support a redistricting effort that would give Democrats an advantage.
thehill.com· Washington Post-Schar School poll: Slim majority support redistricting effort - Background
A poll from The Washington Post and George Mason University shows a slight majority of Virginians support the measure to redraw congressional districts. The poll was conducted from March 26 to 31.
wtkr.com· GMU/WaPo poll shows 52% support for redistricting - Background
The article discusses a redistricting referendum in Virginia. It mentions that Abigail Spanberger was elected governor, but the provided context and supporting articles focus on a March/April 2024 redistricting referendum and poll results from late March/early April 2024, not a November 2023 gubernatorial election.
wric.com· Article context on Spanberger election and redistricting referendum
How we checked
We reviewed 5 relevant sources.
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