Trabzonspor's 3-0 derby win at Samsunspor leaves Beşiktaş question

Trabzonspor won 3-0 at Samsunspor on 10 October 2026 in Süper Lig week 7, with Ernest Muçi scoring in the 27th minute, Chibuike Nwaiwu in the 38th and Franculino in the 40th. Melih Kabasakal was sent off in the 43rd minute, so Trabzonspor played the rest of the match with ten men. The result gave Trabzonspor a second consecutive win and 13 points; Samsunspor stayed on 4 points. Samsunspor travel to Kasımpaşa.

Shots on target were closer: Samsunspor 6, Trabzonspor 7. Samsunspor also had 9 corners to Trabzonspor's 5. Trabzonspor made 30 clearances to Samsunspor's 9, and committed 6 fouls to Samsunspor's 22. Expected goals were Samsunspor 1.37, Trabzonspor 1.98, and big chances were Samsunspor 1, Trabzonspor 6.

The raw volume sits alongside a scoreline that Trabzonspor took control of before half-time. The shot count alone would suggest a home side with more of the ball and more attempts, but the big-chance count and the xG favour Trabzonspor. Both can be true: Samsunspor had more shots, Trabzonspor had the better chances.

Trabzonspor's goals minus expected goals in this match was 1.02, against an average of 0.0 across their earlier 2026/2027 matches in all competitions. Their set-play xG was 0.89, against an average of 0.32 across those earlier matches. First-half xG was 0.03–1.62 in Trabzonspor's favour; second-half xG was 1.34–0.36 in Samsunspor's favour.

Trabzonspor's league record under Fatih Tekke in 2026/2027 so far is 1W 1D 1L, 1.33 points per game over 3 games. The comparison the tip reaches for is the Abdullah Avcı window of 2021/2022, when Trabzonspor took 23 wins, 12 draws and three defeats from 38 league games at 2.13 points per game.

Since the summer, Trabzonspor have added Fabinho, Cenk Özkacar, Chibuike Nwaiwu, Franculino, René Mitongo and Aral Şimşir. Christ Inao Oulaï, Salih Malkoçoglu, Felipe Augusto, Danylo Sikan, Mathias Fjørtoft Løvik and Oleksandr Zubkov have departed. Their results before and including this match, oldest first, were: Ferencváros 4-0 Trabzonspor (Europa League Qualification, 2026-08-27); Amed Sportif 2-1 Trabzonspor (Super Lig, 2026-08-31); Trabzonspor 5-0 Gençlerbirliği (Super Lig, 2026-09-06); Konyaspor 1-0 Trabzonspor (Super Lig, 2026-09-12); Trabzonspor 4-0 Galatasaray (Super Lig, 2026-09-19); Samsunspor 0-3 Trabzonspor (Super Lig, 2026-10-10).

Two questions follow. Three league games under Tekke is a small sample, and one match is one match. What this result shows is a side that scored three times in a short first-half window and then defended its box with ten men.