Thunder Seek Series Extension as Gilgeous-Alexander Projected Under 29.5 Points in Game 4
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to score under 29.5 points in Game 4, near his series average, as Oklahoma City aims to go up 3-1 on San Antonio.

TL;DR
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to score under 29.5 points in Game 4, a figure close to his series average of 26.7, as the Thunder aim to extend their 2-1 series lead over the Spurs.
Context
Game 4 between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the San Antonio Spurs tips off at 6 PM EST in Oklahoma City. The Thunder hold a 2‑1 advantage in the best‑of‑seven series, with San Antonio trying to avoid falling behind 3‑1. Both teams have adjusted their rotations after injuries and performance swings in the first three games.
Key Facts
- Shai Gilgeous‑Alexander averages 26.7 points per game in the series, shooting .391 from the field, .286 from three‑point range, and .963 from the free‑throw line. - He is projected to record less than 29.5 points in Game 4 according to DraftKings Pick6 lines. - The Thunder lead the series 2‑1; a win would put them up 3‑1. - Gilgeous‑Alexander also contributes 11 assists per game, showing his playmaking impact despite shooting struggles.
What It Means
If Gilgeous‑Alexander stays under the 29.5‑point threshold, it would reflect the Spurs’ perimeter pressure and Victor Wembanyama’s rim protection limiting his efficiency. His ability to facilitate could still keep the Thunder competitive, as his assist rate remains high. A Thunder victory would put them one win away from closing out the series, while a Spurs win would force a decisive Game 5.
Watch for whether Gilgeous‑Alexander can adjust his shot selection against Wembanyama’s length and whether the Thunder’s supporting cast can maintain the offensive flow needed to secure a 3‑1 lead.
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