Assam Exit Polls Show BJP Leading as Vote Count Approaches

Context The final tally on May 4 will determine control of all 126 seats in Assam’s legislative assembly. The incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) seeks a third consecutive term under chief minister Himanta Biswa Sarma, who has been the party’s central figure in the state since taking office.

Key Facts - Exit polls released after voting closed show the BJP holding a decisive advantage over the opposition Indian National Congress. The data places the Congress in a vulnerable position across the state. - Sarma contested his traditional Jalukbari constituency, pitting him against Congress candidate Bidisha Neog. The seat carries symbolic weight because Sarma began his political career in the Congress before switching parties. - High‑profile races remain tight. In Jorhat, Congress leader Gaurav Gogoi, son of former chief minister Tarun Gogoi, faced BJP candidate Hitendra Nath Goswami. In Nazira, Congress veteran Debabrata Saikia defended his family stronghold against BJP’s Mayur Borgohain. Similar showdowns unfolded in Barchalla, Golaghat and other districts. - The BJP’s rise in Assam began under former chief minister Sarbananda Sonowal and accelerated under Sarma, who has consolidated the party’s foothold since the end of the Congress era.

What It Means If the exit polls prove accurate, the BJP will likely retain a commanding majority, extending its policy agenda and reinforcing its regional dominance. A Congress resurgence appears limited to isolated constituencies, suggesting the party must rebuild its grassroots network to challenge the BJP effectively. The upcoming count will also test the credibility of the polling methodology, as parties have already questioned the fairness of the process.

Looking Ahead Watch the May 4 results for confirmation of the BJP’s projected sweep and for any unexpected upsets that could reshape Assam’s political landscape.